Bitcoin Strategy Profund Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

BTCFX Fund  USD 16.34  0.69  4.05%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.01, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Bitcoin Strategy returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bitcoin Strategy is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Bitcoin Strategy Profund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
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Bitcoin Strategy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,340  in Bitcoin Strategy Profund on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (706.00) from holding Bitcoin Strategy Profund or give up 30.17% of portfolio value over 90 days. Bitcoin Strategy Profund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.8514% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 25% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Bitcoin, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bitcoin Strategy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Bitcoin Strategy Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
16.34
Please note that Bitcoin Strategy's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Bitcoin Strategy Profund shows a prevailing Real Value of $15.03 per share. The current price of the fund is $16.34. We determine the value of Bitcoin Strategy Profund from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Bitcoin Strategy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Bitcoin Mutual Fund. However, Bitcoin Strategy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.34 Real  15.03 Hype  16.34 Naive  14.45
The intrinsic value of Bitcoin Strategy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Bitcoin Strategy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.03
Real Value
17.87
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Bitcoin Strategy Profund helps investors to forecast how Bitcoin mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Bitcoin Strategy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Bitcoin Strategy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8519.8721.88
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5016.3419.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.6214.4517.29
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Bitcoin Strategy Profund extending back to July 28, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Bitcoin Strategy stands at 16.34, as last reported on the 5th of February, with the highest price reaching 16.34 and the lowest price hitting 16.34 during the day.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Bitcoin Strategy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Bitcoin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.34 90 days 16.34 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bitcoin Strategy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bitcoin Strategy Profund probability density function shows the probability of Bitcoin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.01 suggesting Bitcoin Strategy Profund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bitcoin Strategy is expected to follow. Additionally Bitcoin Strategy Profund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bitcoin Strategy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bitcoin Strategy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitcoin Strategy Profund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5016.3419.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1915.0317.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6214.4517.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8519.8721.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bitcoin Strategy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bitcoin Strategy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bitcoin Strategy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bitcoin Strategy Profund.

Bitcoin Strategy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bitcoin Strategy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bitcoin Strategy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bitcoin Strategy Profund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bitcoin Strategy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Bitcoin Strategy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bitcoin Strategy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bitcoin Strategy Profund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitcoin Strategy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Bitcoin Strategy Fundamentals Growth

Bitcoin Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Bitcoin Strategy, and Bitcoin Strategy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Bitcoin Mutual Fund performance.

About Bitcoin Strategy Performance

Evaluating Bitcoin Strategy's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Bitcoin Strategy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Bitcoin Strategy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective primarily through managed exposure to bitcoin futures contracts. It does not invest directly in bitcoin. The Advisor expects to gain exposure by investing a portion of its assets in a wholly-owned subsidiary of the fund organized under the laws of the Cayman Islands and advised by ProFund Advisors. It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Bitcoin Strategy Profund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bitcoin Strategy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Bitcoin Strategy Profund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitcoin Strategy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
Evaluating Bitcoin Strategy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Bitcoin Strategy's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Bitcoin Strategy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Bitcoin Strategy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Bitcoin Strategy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Bitcoin Strategy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Bitcoin Strategy's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Bitcoin Strategy's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Bitcoin Strategy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Bitcoin Strategy's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Bitcoin Strategy's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Bitcoin Mutual Fund

Bitcoin Strategy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bitcoin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bitcoin with respect to the benefits of owning Bitcoin Strategy security.
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